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When working out how to answer the consequence, likelihood and risk score:

Ask the questions:

If something did happen what would the consequence be?

and then

Now that we’ve put these controls in place what is the likelihood of it happening?

Then look at the convergence to work out the risk score.

LIKELIHOOD DESCRIPTION

LIKELIHOOD

This event may occur only in exceptional circumstances.

Not expected but the event may occur at some time.

The event could occur at some time.

The event will probably occur in most circumstances.

The event is expected to occur or has occurred and is continuing to impact

IMPACTS

RARE

UNLIKELY

POSSIBLE

LIKELY

ALMOST CERTAIN

Fatality or Permanent Total Disability

Complete Destruction

CRITICAL

EXTREME

Significant or extensive injury or illness.

Extensive damage.

MAJOR

HIGH

Serious Injury or Illness. Lost time > 10 days.

Significant damage but limited area/items.

MODERATE

MEDIUM

Serious injury or illness lost time <10 days.

Damage limited to smaller area or items

MINOR

LOW

Injury or illness requiring first aid but no lost time injury days.

Minimal damage to area or items, easily fixed.

INSIGNIFICANT

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